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Lou observes that if flight 409 is cancelled, then the manager could not possibly arrive in time for the meeting. But the flight was not cancelled. Therefore, Lou concludes, the manager will certainly be on time. Evelyn replies that even if Lou’s premises true, his argument is fallacious. And therefore, she adds, the manager will not arrive on time after all.
Which of the following is the strongest thing that we can properly say about this discussion?
Lou subjects the arrival of his manager on time on the basis of only 1 factor. There might be other factors that can affect the manager's reaching on time, for example, delay in baggage claims, Traffic jams, etc. Hence, Evelyn is right when she says Lou's argument to be fallacious. However, concluding that the manager will not be on time on the basis of Lou's argument is absurd and unwarranted. Hence, Option b is the correct one here.
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